Thursday, July 7, 2022

2022 midterm: What to know about the Ohio, Indiana primary

COLUMBUS, Ohio ( Associated Press) — The first multistate contest of the 2022 midterm election season That surfaced Tuesday, as Ohio voters choose nominees for the governor and the US Senate, while Indiana voters consider whether their legislature should become even more conservative.

Race, especially in Ohio, may provide a new window for former President Donald Trump He has been particularly involved in Ohio’s Senate primaries, which have been aligned with Republican divisions, as well as campaigns for the US House and Secretary of State.

For Democrats, a potential threat to incumbent US Representative Schontel Brown There is a keen interest in Cleveland. Brown is locked in a rematch against progressive challenger Nina Turner, a former state senator and surrogate for the presidential campaigns of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. Turner is trying again after losing to Brown in last year’s special election.

The turnout in Ohio comes against the backdrop of a chaotic and still unresolved redistribution battle.

What to watch as the Ohio and Indiana primary:

Who Will Survive Ohio’s Dirty Senate Primary?

Seven candidates are on the ballot in Tuesday’s Republican faceoff for retired Republican Rob Portman’s coveted open US Senate seat, They’re Trump-Backed “Hillbilly Allegiant” Writer J.D. VanceFormer Ohio Treasurer Josh MandelloCleveland investment banker Mike Gibbons, former Ohio Republican president Jane Timken, state Sen. Matt Dolan, whose family owns a Cleveland Guardian baseball team, and entrepreneurs Mark Puccita and Neil Patel.

The campaign includes months of jockeying between top contenders to support Trump, more than $65 million in TV and radio spending, dozens of debate and candidate forums, and a highly publicized physical confrontation between the two candidates.

As Vance rides high on Trump endorsement, other candidates campaigning on their loyalty to the former president are hoping that heavy advertising spend or strong grassroots play can help them win. Dolan is the only candidate who ran as a centrist like Portman, but Timken endorsed Portman.

Whoever prevails will face the winner of a three-way Democratic primary between 10-term U.S. Representative Tim Ryan, former consumer protection attorney Morgan Harper and Columbus activist and tech exec Tracy Johnson.

Is Supporting Trump a Slam-Dunk in Ohio?

Trump twice won Ohio by more than 8 percentage points, so many considered his consent in the Senate race to be crucial to winning the overcrowded Senate primary. Instead, when he eventually chose Vance, it left the kingdom divided.,

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That’s because Vance opponents, including Mandel, Gibbons and their allies, aired months of ads highlighting Vance’s previous anti-Trump statements. Some Tea Party Republicans protested an April 23 Trump rally featuring Vance, and Ohio Value Voters, a conservative group, urged their supporters to boycott — or Boo Vance — when they took to the stage. The deep-pocketed Club for Growth, a conservative group that supports Mandel, has directly attacked Trump for his choice with TV commercials.

Trump has also endorsed candidates in two Republican congressional primaries: Max Miller, his former White House and campaign aide, in the sprawling new 7th District in northeastern Ohio, and Madison Geciotto Gilbert in the Akron-area 13th District. He is also backing Secretary of State Frank Larose in his primary against former State Representative John Adams, a conservative Trump supporter.

Will any woman be able to outrun the race for governor of Ohio?

Democrat Nan Whaley Wants To Be First Lady In Ohio To receive the nomination of a major party for governor. The former Dayton mayor is in a tight race with former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley, who is endorsed by feminist icon Gloria Steinem.

They share their eyes on most of the major issues – guns, abortion rights, social justice – but Whaley has repeatedly pointed out that Cranley recently said he was supportive. He also has the support of the state’s top Democrat, US Sen. Sherrod Brown.

None of the candidates are household names across Ohio. The two have struggled to gain attention as much of the state remains focused on the contentious US Senate race and the ongoing redistribution battle.

The big question for first-time Republican Governor Mike Devine is how many conservative voters will punish him for pursuing an aggressive mandate. and closed during the pandemic.

Devin is widely known from a 40-year career in Ohio politics and is in a solid position to win the GOP nomination for another four-year term. His two main challengers have tapped into anger over the governor’s COVID-19 policies, but they are likely to divide those far-right voters.

DeWine isn’t taking any chances, putting in millions of ads during the weeks leading up to the primaries. The concern will be whether the same conservative voters who were angry with Devin will return to him in November.

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Will Confusion Over Ohio’s Primary Calendar Affect the Results?

A protracted battle over Ohio’s congressional and legislative maps has wreaked havoc with the state’s 2022 election calendar. For a long time, it seemed that the first program of May 3 would not go ahead amid all the legal squabbles. Then suddenly it happened.

Voter advocates, campaigns and political parties have intensified efforts to get the word out as early voting participation has seen a 40% drop from four years ago.

Tuesday’s ballots will not list state legislative races, which are expected to be decided in a second primary later this year. The Ohio Redistribution Commission faces a deadline next week to attempt to draw a district line for a fifth time that does not represent a partisan gerrymander and could meet constitutional muster. If the panel fails, a federal court has said it will force an FIR on Aug. 2 using one of the previously invalid maps.

Congress races ahead using a map that has also been invalidated by the Ohio Supreme Court. The ongoing trial could result in a new map ahead of the 2024 elections.

Is Indiana’s legislature conservative enough?

More than a dozen members of the Indiana House are trying to block Republican primary challengers who argue that the GOP-dominated legislature has sought to reverse the COVID-19 restrictions ordered by the state’s Republican governor. Attempts to ban abortion have not been aggressive enough on the issues. ,

Those challengers say they are tapping into despair among conservative voters and want to advance the Legislature into a state where Republicans control all statewide offices and have held legislative supremacy for the past decade.

Whether the challengers can beat the incumbent Republican leaders backed by a multimillion-dollar campaign fund must be answered in Tuesday’s primary.

Republican legislative leaders argue that the “no compromise” stance adopted by many challengers is not practical and cites low state taxes and unemployment and the comprehensive private school voucher program among their conservative successes.

Challengers such as Brittany Carroll, a family law attorney running for a central Indiana seat, said Indiana lawmakers should aggressively pursue issues such as a Texas ban on abortion after nearly six weeks of pregnancy.

“Indiana can be a leader in terms of independence, just like Florida, like Texas,” Carroll said.

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Davis reported from Indianapolis. Associated Press writer John Seaver in Toledo, Ohio contributed to this report.

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