Wednesday, January 19, 2022

Best NFL Week 13 Betting: Two Games With Intriguing Early Odds

With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, the calendar goes to December 13th week and the playoff race is clear as mud. It was a great week for the two parting teams as Arizona and Kansas City reaped the benefits of what other teams in their divisions did on Sunday.

It hasn’t been a great week for Titans, Colts, Eagles, Steelers, Chargers, Vikings or Rams. Once again, we’re moving on to another roster of low-confidence NFL games on so many teams in the league. It’s hard to find teams you can trust.

With four teams goodbye this week (Panthers, Browns, Packers, Titans) and a traditional schedule with only one game on Thursday, let’s try to find some early lane value.

Dallas Cowboys (-5.5, 47.5) to New Orleans Saints

Fugitive Dallas Cowboys receiver Amari Cooper carries the ball after receiving against the Falcons on November 14.

(Matt Patterson / Associated Press) #

At this point, the Saints’ offense is really absent. Trevor Simian is a great stopover in light of Jamis Winston’s injury, but he has very little work to do. Over the past four weeks, the Saints have scored 16 points in the first half. They will most likely fall behind at the start of this game, and the attacker has no opportunity to play catch-up.

Dallas could return several wide receivers as Amari Cooper needs to be cleaned up after COVID and CeeDee Lamb should also be ready to return from a concussion. The Saints’ defense has fared as excellent as it can get, but has still managed to score 71 points in the last two games and at least 27 points in four of the last five.

Dallas’s defenses are not stellar, but the Saints have no external weapons and no threats. Even if New Orleans somehow slows down the Dallas advance, how many points do the Cowboys really need to score to cover the spread? If they hit the top 20, they will have a very good shot and this line implies about 26.5-21 points.

Choice: Cowboys -5.5

Indianapolis Colts (-7.5, 46.5) to Houston Texans

Indianapolis defender Colts Carson Wentz passes a pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday.

Indianapolis defender Colts Carson Wentz passes a pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday.

(A.J. Mast / Associated Press)

The Colts could have played better against the Buccaneers, but the five interruptions were too difficult to overcome. It was also a strange day for Frank Reich as Jonathan Taylor only had 16 carries in the contest. Carson Wentz has thrown 44 times. The Colts managed 5.4 yards per carry but did not rely enough on mileage, which is the team’s strong point.

The Buccaneers are not the team you want to throw the ball against, and they turned five assists into 21 points. Houston’s attack is not close to that level. The Texans’ offense is believed to be better with Tyrode Taylor, but Houston had less than four yards per game for the second straight week. David Callie’s game management is poor and the team is struggling to adjust to the flow of the game.

This week the Colts may return to being “bullies,” which means more running and more Taylor. It can’t be bad.

Choice: Colts -7.5

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