Former President Lula (PT) has an 8.6-point advantage over Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the presidential race, according to a poll conducted by the MDA Institute and released by the National Transportation Confederation this Friday 16. The PT has, in the motivated scenario, 43.4% voting intentions, compared to 34.8% for the former captain. The data for both the candidates has fluctuated since the last round.
In addition to the two politicians who came in first place, the CNT/MDA poll this Friday links Ciro Gomes (PDT) technically with Simone Tebbet (MDB). Pedestrian has 5.6% and Senator has 4.7%. All other candidates do not reach the 1% mentioned by the respondents.
Result, institute wise, put Lula with 48% valid votes, maintaining a level close to winning the dispute in the first round. The bulletin also highlighted that there was a positive uptick in citations of certain votes for Lula (84.5%) and Bolsonaro (87.7%), which would limit ‘space for a large change in percentage’. The conclusion reported by the researchers is that of an ‘uncertainty’ about the need for a second round.
The institute automatically monitored voter preference not to mention candidate’s choices. Lula is also seen in the lead role in this case. According to the MDA, the former president accounts for 39.3% of spontaneous mentions. Bolsonaro in turn has 31.6%. Ciro and Simone are further apart, with 3.6% for pedestrians and 2.3% for senators.
There are also five polls of possible second round scenarios. The three to whom Lula is mentioned appear as the victors. Bolsonaro, in turn, would lose to Ciro, but Simeone would win. View the numbers:
What counts for the results, according to the survey data, are Bolsonaro’s high disapproval, 55.4%, the highest among Planalto’s competitors, and fear for the continuation of his government, which reaches 36% and overcomes fear. Return of a PT Govt. (30.5%).
The bulletin highlighted Institut MDA’s director Marcelo Souza, “Voting potential for the main contestants has remained stable, maintaining a high level of disapproval, suggesting that, in the final second round, the winner should be the lowest. “Voters may consider the veto more important than the vote”, the researcher concludes.
The MDA personally heard 2,002 voters between 12 and 14 September. The survey has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. The search record in the Electoral Court is BR 06984/2022. View full:
154th CNT Opinion Survey