Wednesday, December 1, 2021

Denver Weather: Where’s the Snow?!

Denver still awaits its first official snow of the season and is entering record territory for the latest first snow. Although we already have some chances of snowfall, none have delivered. Looking at the current forecast, I’m not very optimistic about our first snowfall anytime soon.

Denver may see its first snow as early as the first week of September and as late as the week of Thanksgiving. The average date of the first snowfall is October 18th and we are already over 2 weeks old and we have yet to see any flakes fly by.

Of the 73 years of weather records at the Denver/Central Park weather station, there have only been 13 years where we had our first snow in November. This year will be the 14th year. The latest weather models are showing only a negligible chance of snow once between now and the 15th of the month, making our latest first snowfall of the season.

Top 5 Latest First Snowfalls in Denver

21 November – 1924
19 November – 1931
November 17 – 2016
16 November 1984
November 15 – 2010

The most recent year in which we had our first snow of late season was 2016. It was also a La Nia year which begs the question, will we have a repeat season like 2016? The winter of 2016-17 brought Denver only 21.8 inches of snow—one of Denver’s lowest snowy winters ever.

While long-range forecasts are showing normal humidity and slightly above average temperatures for this winter, some powerful storms are likely to impact us. Simultaneously, there is also the potential for powerful storms that are missing us a bit to the north, which has already been a trend this season.

Denver receives an average of one inch of snow in September and 4.1 inches of snow in October. Since we haven’t seen any snow this season, we are already missing 5.1 inches of snow this season. Denver averages just over 7 inches of snow in November and while November has plenty left over, the forecast isn’t showing strong signs of snow in the near term.

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Forecast

The forecast isn’t looking great for snow lovers in Denver. Especially this weekend, but if you’re a fan of some late summer, I have great news for you. It’s going to be an absolutely beautiful weekend at Mile High.

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