10 BEST GAMES TO BET
AIRCRAFT ON DOLPHINS
13:00, Dolphins to 10, 42
HENKA HONEY: The playoff contenders are covering big spreads against the mats, and even though this is a divisional game, this trend should continue here. This game means a lot to Miami and nothing to the Jets. The Dolphins’ aggressive defenses have indeed strengthened over the past five games, allowing 11 points per game, and, along with Thue Tagovailoa’s improvement, helped Miami widen the lead margin over that period plus 61. Although the Dolphin attack is more effective than the explosive attack, they can wear down bad Jets D like the Saints did last week. Beware of the backdoor, but all overlap and recent metrics are in Fish’s favor.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Dolphins and scuba.
COWBOYS to GIANTS
13:00, Cowboys from 10 ½, 44 ½
HENKA HONEY: Everyone is worried about Duck Prescott’s “slump.” Well, the Giants have played five high-level QB / explosive attacks so far. They lost to Justin Herbert 16, Tom Brady 20, Matthew Stafford 27 and Prescott 24 in the first meeting. They lost three to Patrick Mahomes, but at the time, the Chiefs’ attack did not suit anyone. So, if anything, it should give Duck a chance to take off. Meenau, this defense of Dallas continues unabated, aided by the return of DeMarcus Lawrence and the arrival of Mickey Parsons. It will be another long day for those starting the quarterback game.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Cowboys and others.
PATRIOTS in COLTS
Saturday, 20:20, Colts by 2, 45 ½
HENKA HONEY: Reasonable money sounds like an Indie, but Bill Belichick is best at taking the best player out of you. It would be Jonathan Taylor. If you are confident that Carson Wentz can beat this defense, bet on the Colts. But this is not the case. The Patriots are going to turn this into a defensive fight (they have lost 25 points or fewer in nine of their last 10 games) and the Colts are just 1-4 SD and 26 or fewer points. Pets also plays 6-0 away. In this tactical game between two well-trained teams, we will side with the future Hall of Fame.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Patriots and under.
CARDINALS in LIONS
13:00, Cardinals 12 ½, 47 ½
HENKA HONEY: What a perfect recovery game for Cards after self-destructing on Monday night. They have won all seven of their double-digit away games, and their bidirectional attack should be a feast against this battered Lions defense. The Lions have had a ton of games this season, but Jared Goff will have a hard time keeping up with Kyler Murray, who will be very motivated to hear all the negative stuff after Monday night. There is a game here too. Lions can score late if the Cards take their foot off the gas.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Cardinals and others.
PULE on ACCOUNTS
13:00, Accounts to 10 ½, 44
HENKA HONEY: Too many points, even with the Panthers’ inept attack, is now caught between two QBs in the face of Cam Newton and PJ Walker. First, it’s a trap. The Bills can be expected to air next week at Foxboro. They just want to get in and out of it with pure victory. Secondly, Josh Allen is limping on a bad leg and he plays an important role in Buffalo’s running. Panthers can still play defensively, and if the bills are one-dimensional, the defenses will keep that relatively close.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Panthers and scuba.
TITANS in STEELERS
13:00, Titans 1 ½, 41 ½
HENKA HONEY: The Titans’ attack did not compensate for the loss of Derrick Henry, as evidenced by a paltry 20 points against the Jaguars. In the meantime, the Steelers will bring back T.J. Watt, and he makes a huge difference in that defense. Joe Hayden is less likely to return, but if he does, those are two important parts. Ryan Tannehill is not the same QB without the advantage of in-game action, and will be targeted when Watt returns. Ben Roethlisberger may be on his last legs, but this guy’s resilience is undeniable. If not for Chase Claypool, he could have returned as Minnie once again. His body gets a break with 10 days of rest, and when Naji Harris is working hard, the Steelers must control the clock and the game.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Steelers and under.
SAINTS in BUCS
20:20, Letters of 10 ½, 47
HENKA HONEY: The Bucs haven’t stopped hiding at home since the first week against the Cowboys. That said, it seems like too many points to be given away in a divisional primetime game with the Saints 3-0 ATS against the Bucs since Tom Brady arrived at QB. The Saints’ defense is still formidable (# 1 versus rush, # 7 versus pass), and while she’s not going to stop Brady, she will make enough stops to keep the ball game going. The Bucs running defense is outstanding, but the Saints have an unconventional running game built around Alvin Camara and Tys Hill. After seeing what Josh Allen did with his feet against the Bucs, Sean Payton can plan enough games to cause Tampa’s troubles. Hill’s finger should also be close to 100% and the Bucs’ secondary is still thin.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Saints and stuff.
BENGALS in BRONCOS
16:05, Broncos, 2 ½, 44
HENKA HONEY: Bengals are a lot better than they’ve looked in the last two weeks when they actually killed themselves with bugs and fluidity. They had to abandon the current game due to being in an early hole, but Joe Mixon has a major role to play again this week and that will change everything. Denver has the best defense, but Shinsi has the best QB, and Joe Burrow’s pinky finger looked great last week. The Broncos destroyed the bad teams and smoked the good ones. What are Bengals? Better than their record and better than the Broncos.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Bengals and stuff.
PACKAGING in RAVENS
16:25, Packers 4 ½, 43 ½
HENKA HONEY: Even if Lamar Jackson is playing, his ability to play with his feet will be limited. And it wasn’t that Crows rolled over people when he was healthy. That’s what Aaron Rogers (a bad toe and all) and the Packers do: roll people over. They have all aspects of their offense and pair well with faulty defense. The Packers were the money after that Opening Day debacle against the Saints with their 11-2 league-best ATS record. And this is a step forward in the class for the Ravens, who have yet to face a good team working at full capacity.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Packers and so on.
FALCONS on NINERS
13:00, Nines to 9, 46
HENKA HONEY: This one just smells like gas. The 49ers play their best football of that stretch and the Falcons are not as good as their 6-7 record suggests. The Falcons defenders won’t be able to deal with George Keatle or the healthier Dibo Samuel, while the Nines’ defensive front should include Matt Ryan, who is having trouble finding open receivers. Cordarrell Patterson deserves respect, but the 49s see him at every training session in Samuel. They will take him away and start dominating.
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Falcons and stuff.
LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH
NIDERS IN BROWN
Saturday, 4:30 pm, Raiders by 1 ½, 38 ½
HENKA HONEY: COVID has turned several games into shitty escapes that should be avoided at all costs, and this one stands out among them. The line has dropped completely from the Browns minus -5 ½, a 7-point swing, but there is no way to account for Cleveland’s depleted lineup (18 players plus a head coach on the COVID roster) versus the Raiders’ season, which is already out of control. We liked Las Vegas with the starting points as the Browns are not going to separate from anyone, but now that the hosts are gaining points, we are going to lean dangerously towards the weight class. Kees Kinum is a capable stunt double who should be able to do enough in a game that needs to be low, and as long as Miles Garrett is not on the COVID list, he will chase David Carr (dude, he misses Darren Waller) enough to make a mistake or two.
CANNOT HELP YOURSELF?: Browns and under.
THE BEST OF HOLIDAYS
WASHINGTON at EAGLES
13:00, Eagles to 7, 44
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Washington and under.
TEHANS in JAGUARS
13:00, Teeth at 3 ½, 39 ½
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Jaguars and stuff.
SEA PADS ON RAMS
16:25, Baranov 4 ½, 47
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Seahawks and others.
VIKINGS AT BEARS
Monday, 20:15, Vikings by 3 ½, 44
IF I WAS AN OLD PERSON: Vikings and underwater.
BEST RATE OF THE WEEK: Steelers. Their kind of game.
Last week: 9-5
More less: 115-92
Best bets: 9-5