The seventh week of the 2021 NFL season kicks off Thursday with the Denver Broncos visiting the Browns in Cleveland. NFL The Times writer Sam Farmer looks into this week’s matches.
Farmer’s record last week: 11-3 (0.786); season 61-33 (0.649). Using spreads in pips with Farmer’s predicted estimates, the record against last week’s spread would be 9-5 (0.643); season 45-47-2 (.489).
Goodbye commands: Chargers, Buffalo, Dallas, Jacksonville, Minnesota, Pittsburgh.
Times Pacific. FanDuel lines (O / U = more / less):
Broncos (3-3) to Browns (3-3)
TV: Channel 11, NFL network, Amazon.
Line: Brown by 2. OU: 41.
The Broncos lost to the Raiders at home and must hit the road in a short week. However, Cleveland is so excited and now is just not the right time to have such a limited recovery time.
Forecast: Broncos 21, Browns 20
Bengals (4-2) to Ravens (5-1)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 705.
Line: Ravens from 61/2. OU: 47.
Baltimore beat Cincinnati twice last season, 27-3 and – without Joe Burrow – 38-3. Yes, that was last year, but when things get so bad. … The Ravens have lost a right tackle, but still enough.
Forecast: Ravens, 27, Bengals 17
Planes (1-4) to Patriots (2-4)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 706.
Line: Patriots at 7. OU: 42.
In their first meeting this season, the Patriots won 25-6 at MetLife. There is little evidence that the Jets are much better; they now play at Foxboro, and New England made it interesting against Dallas.
Forecast: Patriots 27, Jets 17
Chiefs (3-3) in Titans (4-2)
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 707.
Line: Chiefs at 51/2. OU: 571/2.
The Titans are a mature team with an effective formula: Pass the ball to Derrick Henry and stay away. Patrick Mahomes (interceptions in five games in a row) is not in top shape, but he has enough weapons.
Forecast: Chiefs 28, Titans 24
TV: No one. DirecTV: 708.
Line: Packers at 81/2. OU: 49.
Washington lasted longer from Kansas City than many expected, and it took the beaten Packers a little longer to get rid of the bears. Still, Green Bay is better than the team and at home.
Forecast: Packers 27, Washington 20
Falcons (2-3) at dolphins (1-5)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 709.
Line: Dolphins 21/2. OU: 471/2.
There is not a lot to like about this game. The Dolphins are losing to the previously unbeaten Jacksonville (which must have been followed by a 50 hour flight home from London). Atlanta rested with the best QB.
Forecast: Falcons 24, Dolphins 21
Panthers (3-3) to Giants (1-5)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 710.
Line: Panthers by 3. OU: 43.
The loss of Christian McCaffrey in the new games was a real blow to the Panthers, who, after a strong start, showed that they were mediocre. The giants are much worse; they cannot stop anyone.
Forecast: Panthers 24, Giants 20
Lviv (0-6) at Rams (5-1)
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 711.
Line: Rams at 141/2. O / E: 501/2.
The Winless Lions have come close to the upsets of Baltimore and Minnesota. Sean McVeigh won’t let it happen this close. Matthew Stafford will beat his former team. Jared Goff receives a polite welcome – before the start of the match.
Forecast: Baranov 38, Lviv 20
Eagles (2-4) to Raiders (4-2)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 712.
Line: Raiders for 3. OU: 49.
Despite all the commotion off the pitch, the Raiders came together under the guidance of their new coach for a targeted win at Denver. They may continue to fight against a Philadelphia team that relies too much on Jalen Hurts.
Forecast: Raiders 27, Eagles 23
Texans (1-5) to Cardinals (6-0)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 713.
Line: 171/2. OU: 471/2.
When was the last time Arizona favored two touchdowns and a field goal? Houston is so bad. What’s more, cardinals grow and get better with the addition of Zach Ertz. However, the spread is huge.
Forecast: Cardinals 28, Texans 13
Bears (3-3) for pirates (5-1)
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 714.
Line: Buccaneers at 121/2. OU: 47.
Last season, Chicago shocked Tampa Bay. I’m not saying this will happen again, but both teams are thinking about it. Tom Brady & Co will be ready this time, but it may be closer than people expect.
Forecast: Buccaneers 30, Bears 20
Colts (2-4) to 49ers (2-3)
TV: Channel 4.
Line: 49ers by 4. OU: 44.
The San Francisco quarterbacks are shattered, so there is uncertainty in the position. In fact, both teams are divisions of MASH. Colts can control the clock with Jonathan Taylor, playing an amazing game.
Forecast: Colts 23, 49ers 21
Saints (3-2) in Seahawks (2-4)
Line: Saints 41/2. OU: 43.
When New Orleans is resting and Seattle waddles, the match seems one-sided. But these aren’t the Drew Brees Saints, and Seahawks won’t let the embarrassment at home on national television.
Forecast: Saints 24, Seahawks 21