Week 9 of the 2021 NFL season kicks off Thursday with the New York Jets visiting the Colts in Indianapolis. NFL The Times writer Sam Farmer looks into this week’s matches.
Farmer’s record last week: 7-8 (.467); season 77-45 (0.631). Using spreads in pips with Farmer’s predicted estimates, the record against last week’s spread would be 7-8 (0.467); season 58-62-2 (.483).
Goodbye commands: Lions, Seahawks, Buccaneers, Washington DC Football Team
Times Pacific. FanDuel lines (O / U = more / less):
Jets (2-5) to Colts (3-5)
TV: Channel 11, NFL network, Amazon.
Line: Colts at 101/2. V / o: 46.
The teams are similar in many ways, and both can speed up the pass. It makes more sense that Carson Wentz will be filmed at home in a short week than Mike White filming another stunning show.
Forecast: Colts 27, Jets 21
Patriots (4-4) at Panthers (4-4)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 705.
Line: Patriots from 31/2. O / E: 41.
The Patriots have good possession of the ball, Mc Jones does not make many mistakes, and they are reliable in defense. The Panthers could crush the defenses and possibly bring Christian McCaffrey back.
Forecast: Patriots 23, Panthers 18
Browns (4-4) to Bengals (5-3)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 706.
Line: Bengals 21/2. O / E: 461/2.
Both are losing, but at least the Bengals were able to score 31 points in the fall from the New York Jets. Cincinnati is at home and faced with a team that is still struggling to succeed.
Forecast: Bengals 23, Browns 17
Accounts (5-2) in Jaguars (1-6)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 707.
Line: Accounts from 141/2. O / E: 49.
It’s a style points game for the Buffalo in which Bills is expected not only to win, but to win by leaving. Josh Allen is about to have a big day and this will be resolved pretty quickly.
Forecast: Bills 34, Jaguars 10.
Raiders (5-2) to Giants (2-6)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 708.
Line: Raiders at 3. O / U: 461/2.
The Raiders are a mess off the field, but they did a good job of sticking together and winning games. They’re fresh after a week off and are simply better than the ruffled giants.
Forecast: Raiders 30, Giants 20
Vikings (3-4) in Ravens (5-2)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 709.
Line: Ravens 6.O / U: 491/2.
The crows got a week off after the beating of Cincinnati, and that should help. Minnesota scorched Dallas – with Cooper Rush as quarterback – and failed to secure a lead over Kirk Cousins.
Forecast: Ravens 28, Vikings 24
Broncos (4-4) to Cowboys (6-1)
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 710.
Line: Cowboys at 9 1/2. O / U: 49 1/2.
With the return of Duck Prescott and no von Miller to worry about, Dallas should be able to accelerate the advance. But Denver played decently against Washington without Miller, so …
Forecast: Cowboys 28, Broncos 21
Texans (1-7) to Dolphins (1-7)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 711.
Line: Dolphins at 6 1/2. V / o: 46.
Two bad teams. Last Sunday’s home defeat to the Rams should have been more lopsided for the Texans, but Houston returned with some cosmetic bills. Miami is a little better, but not much better.
Forecast: Dolphins 20, Texans 14
Falcons (3-4) at the Saints (5-2)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 712.
Line: Saints at 6. O / U: 42.
If Saints had a solid answer at QB, this would be an easier choice. Their defense is playing well, however, and Tom Brady looked deadly in the last week. They should be able to do the same against Matt Ryan.
Forecast: Saints 21, Falcons 17
Chargers (4-3) in Eagles (3-5)
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 713.
Line: Chargers from 11/2. B / E: 50.
The Chargers are too well trained and Justin Herbert is too good not to recover from his defeat at New England. Philadelphia win a one-sided win against the underdog Detroit Lions.
Forecast: Chargers 24, Eagles 17
Packers (7-1) at the bosses (4-4)
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 714.
Line: Chiefs by 71/2. O / U: 48.
The chiefs are wobbly and suddenly prone to turnover, but the turnover that matters most here is the turnover of Green Bay quarterback. It will be difficult for Jordan Love to beat Arrowhead.
Forecast: Chiefs 28, Packers 23
Cardinals (7-1) & 49ers (3-4)
TV: No one. DirecTV: 715.
Line: Cardinals at 11/2. V / o: 46.
It has to be NFC West’s relentless play. The 49ers limp all the time, but even with partial strength, they will be strong. The Cardinals are resting after an emotional defeat at Green Bay.
Forecast: Cardinals 24, 49ers 23
Titans (6-2) in Rams (7-1)
TV: Channel 4.
Line: Rams on 71/2. O / E: 531/2.
The Rams were torn on the ground against Arizona, so they caught the big break without facing Derrick Henry. Tennessee still has weapons, but not enough. Another great game by Matthew Stafford.
Forecast: Rams 31, Titans 24
Bears (3-5) to Steelers (4-3)
Line: Steelers, author 61/2. B / E: 40.
Both are struggling, but Pittsburgh is at home in prime time and his defense will be picking up something to alarm Justin Fields. The Chicago line will have a hard time defending him.
Forecast: Steelers 23, Bears 17