Poll Shows Trump And Robinson Have Leading Leads In Republican Primary

Poll Shows Trump And Robinson Have Commanding Leads In Republican Primary

Greensboro began electing its mayor and city council members to four-year terms in 2017. The current City Council was supposed to be elected on Nov. 2, 2021, but the Census data needed for redistricting is late due to COVID restrictions and the state has delayed that election. until July 26, 2022.

Therefore, the first four-year term served on the City Council was roughly a five-year term and the current four-year term for which the mayor and city council members were elected in 2022 is closer to a three-year term. with the November 2025 election.

Actually it doesn’t make much difference because neither candidate lost in the July 2022 election.

No election this fall means Greensboro voters can focus on the 2024 election, and while it looks like candidates have been campaigning for that election for a couple of years, filing actually opens at noon. on Monday, December 4, and close at noon on Friday, December 15.

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The statewide primary, with presidential and gubernatorial races at the top of the ticket, will be held on Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Voter turnout is largely driven by the top of the ballot, and it appears that in the North Carolina Republican primary voter turnout will be low because early voting shows that neither the presidential race nor the governor’s race will be close.

A statewide poll by the John Locke Foundation showed that former President Donald Trump and Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson is ahead of their competitors two months from filing.

For the Republican presidential primary, 51.8 percent of likely Republican voters said they would vote for Trump. That may not seem like a huge amount of support, but that puts Trump nearly 40 points ahead of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who finished second with 12 percent. It doesn’t appear that all the lawsuits filed against Trump have hurt his popularity among Republican voters in North Carolina.

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Former South Carolina Gov. Nicky Haley was not far behind DeSantis with 10.4 percent and was the only other candidate with double-digit support.

In the Republican governor’s race, Robinson has a bigger lead than Trump. Robinson has the support of 48.6 percent of likely Republican voters, a 43.7 point lead over North Carolina State Treasurer Dale Folwell with 4.9 percent. Former 6th District Congressman Mark Walker finished third with 4.1 percent.

A big difference in the polling for the governor’s race and the presidential race is that in the governor’s race 41.2 percent of those polled said they were undecided. But even in the unlikely event that all undecideds end up supporting one of the other candidates, it won’t be enough to overcome Robinson’s lead, according to early polls.

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