Amy Walter, The Cook Political Report:
I think it’s important for us to step back for a minute, that there are some things that haven’t changed at all.
We’ve known since late January that the Democrats have a very small gap in the House, a three or four-seat gap in the House, and a zero-seat gap in the Senate. He needs every single one of those Democrats to do anything. So it hasn’t changed.
What has changed is the political climate and, in particular, Joe Biden’s approval rating, right? And I think if you go back and you think about where the Democrats were, where the White House was not long ago, let’s say in early June, the assumption was, COVID is going to go, the economy is going to be good, I’m going to put my approval rating in the 50s, I’m going to get all this momentum, we have this law going down the track.
This is going to be great. I’ll bring my pace to that law, bing, bing, boom, we’re done, except one part didn’t turn out so well, did it? COVID is not gone. Optimism is down. Pessimism is at its peak in the country. And, of course, then there was Afghanistan.
And so now Mr. Speaker, he is not bringing his pace in this process. He needs his own party to give him momentum. So it’s a very different environment than they thought they were getting.