Monday, November 29, 2021

Why Virginia’s Democratic Strategy Failed and How Youngkin Turned the State

Amy Walter, The Cook Political Report:

Well, Judy, it’s a great career, whether it’s Virginia or New Jersey, that it really was, in many ways, an abdication from the president.

President Biden’s low approval ratings at the national level are also quite low in these blue states. An exit poll in Virginia showed that President Biden’s work approval rating was only 45 percent. This is the state he won with 54 percent.

Thus, the resistance that has the president’s disapproval rating extends even to these state and local rails, ballots, and governorships. All politics are now national. It’s not local anymore. So I think this is one important factor.

Second, all the Democratic and Republican years of Trump’s rule raises the question of how sustainable this suburban movement from Republicans to Democrats will be. As one Democrat told me at the time, he said, “I’m worried that we’re just renting out these voters.

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And judging from last night’s results, it really looks like they were just rented, at least for now. Democrats have lost the ground they created during the Trump era, with many voters in the suburbs, especially outside the Ring Road suburbs in Washington, Richmond and the surrounding area, and the Tidewater area.

They didn’t lose as much space as they came back. There were not as many of them as, say, Barack Obama. But you combine that with a really high over-the-presidential turnout for Glenn Youngkin in some rural areas, and it was just a politically deadly combination for Terry McAuliffe.

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