A World Bank report released on Monday suggests that climate change could force 216 million people across six regions to migrate within their countries over the next 30 years, with “hotspots” emerging over the next nine years unless No immediate steps are taken.
The “Groundswell Part 2” report examines how climate change is a powerful cause of migration within a nation because of its impact on people’s livelihoods through drought, rising sea levels, crop failure and other climate-related conditions. is the driver.
The original groundswell climate report was published in 2018 and detailed estimates and analysis for three world regions: Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and Latin America. “Groundswell 2” carried out similar studies on East Asia and the Pacific, North Africa and Eastern Europe and Central Asia.
Both studies set up different scenarios to explore potential future outcomes and identify internal and external migration hotspots in each region – that is, the areas from which people are expected to move, and the areas to which they can go.
The study suggests that by 2050, sub-Saharan Africa could see 86 million internal climate migrants; East Asia and the Pacific, 49 million; South Asia, 40 million; North Africa, 19 million; Latin America, 17 million; and Eastern Europe and Central Asia, 5 million.
To slow the factors driving climate migration and avoid these worst-case consequences, the report recommends a series of steps world leaders can take, including the goals established by the Paris 2015 climate agreement. This includes taking steps to reduce and better understand compliant global emissions. drivers of internal climate migration, so appropriate policies can be developed to address them.
Some of the information in this report was provided by the Associated Press.